Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.993881 4.611502 5.293143 6.101328 7.033639 8.075714 9.329402
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.062571 3.844076 4.780418 5.985345 7.495922 9.328748 11.724494
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.389099 3.224179 4.298644 5.783385 7.784465 10.392179 14.056458
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.016347 2.903535 4.120262 5.912424 8.489790 12.070707 17.440284
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.661503 2.536885 3.808605 5.793048 8.819425 13.275043 20.361222
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.504068 2.422942 3.830087 6.145059 9.870559 15.654687 25.364226
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.347711 2.280689 3.780348 6.370502 10.750353 17.891217 30.490074
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.181694 2.092993 3.624945 6.392800 11.292722 19.651821 35.097015
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.989583 1.828568 3.298941 6.069240 11.187241 20.294468 37.861656
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.917121 1.763938 3.307661 6.333854 12.155048 22.935627 44.596000
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.878377 1.754753 3.413095 6.788552 13.535086 26.511646 53.613017
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.808814 1.674796 3.372296 6.952597 14.372650 29.165585 61.214058
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.729943 1.567924 3.270838 6.995683 15.006918 31.575264 68.843462
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.634655 1.412278 3.048407 6.755030 15.017414 32.720887 74.012737
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.549105 1.264064 2.819366 6.463718 14.871358 33.509425 78.523731
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.505929 1.203730 2.771749 6.568477 15.625654 36.379699 88.236620
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.449509 1.103921 2.620977 6.412022 15.751235 37.844001 94.880235
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.433874 1.099077 2.688885 6.786358 17.203478 42.626931 110.399082
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.410921 1.072565 2.701110 7.025572 18.359587 46.867442 125.253828
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.378094 1.015801 2.630646 7.044068 18.956263 49.803593 137.201268
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.330321 0.912435 2.427300 6.683802 18.501928 49.975102 141.754288
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.317570 0.901643 2.463229 6.973060 19.850104 55.108114 160.904419
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.314124 0.916178 2.568997 7.472385 21.862690 62.350423 187.292090